Forecasting Outturns should not be guesswork! Insight 04
Financial forecasting is essential as part of managing budgets Looking ahead each month should be part of any budget monitoring routine. It should consider what part of the budget has been spent to date, how much budget remains; and is there sufficient budget to cover the future planned expenditure to the end of the year? The answers to the first two questions should be straight forward and available from the financial management systems. Regardless of the ERP/software being used, a report should be able to provide the spend to date and budget remaining. The first issue may be, is the spend to date accurate, complete, and up to date? (See future insights on commitment accounting). The topic of this insight is “future planned expenditure”. This is effectively a forecast, and it is required to “project the outturn”, that is how much will be spent by the end of the year. The future forecast is likely to change each month due to internal and external factors. In month one, eleven months
